GDP Live Coverage
12:22 | FXstreet.com: Information and opinions contained in this live coverage session are for educational purposes only and do not constitute trading recommendations. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:22 FXstreet.com |
12:23 | FXstreet.com: Trading OTC Forex on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange or futures you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange and futures trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.Thursday October 29, 2009 12:23 FXstreet.com |
12:24 | FXstreet.com: Todayfs sponsor is FXCM. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:24 FXstreet.com |
12:24 | Valeria Bednarik: Hi everybody and welcome! is a pleasure to be with you all back again. The data is generating high expectations across the board, let's hope won't dissapoint us. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:24 Valeria Bednarik |
12:24 | FXstreet.com: Good morning, good afternoon and good evening to everyone all over the world.
Today's U.S. GDP Live Coverage will start shortly. I am really pleased to introduce Valeria Bednarik who is going to take part in this live event today as a co-presenter.
She will be giving us a direct picture for the market status.Thursday October 29, 2009 12:24 FXstreet.com |
12:24 | FXstreet.com: Valeria Bednarik has been an active Forex trader for the last 4 years, specializing in the International Foreign Exchange Market. She also graduates in the Universidad Catolica del Salvador, in Argentina, as a Public Account, specializing in financials and cost managements. She currently manages an important clients portfolio for IFX Markets, Boston and is senior trader manager at Molfx-Management; besides she works training new traders with Trader College LLC specializing in technical analysis, for the English speaking community.Thursday October 29, 2009 12:24 FXstreet.com |
12:24 | Valeria Bednarik: We are waiting for U.S. GDP for the second quarter of the year. As you now, the GDP has been negative the last 4 quarters, thus improving in the last one. Last quarter of 2008 print a -6.4, while first quarter of 2009 printed -0.7. Todayfs forecast is a 3.2%, what could be understood as a quite important growth in American economy, and so, be translated as an economic recovery. That could bring as back to optimism and risk appetite. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:24 Valeria Bednarik |
12:24 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:24 dag |
12:24 | Valeria Bednarik: In fact, I do expect that any reading above 2.00 will be understood as very positive, despite under market expectations. As usual, reaction will first be seen in stocks and then in currencies. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:24 Valeria Bednarik |
12:25 | Do you anticipate a positive growth in GDP? Yes,even more than expected( above3.1%) ( 6% ) ( 25% ) ( 50% ) ( 19% ) Thursday October 29, 2009 12:25 |
12:25 | Valeria Bednarik: Hi dag. anyway, we start a bit late due to technical problems Thursday October 29, 2009 12:25 Valeria Bednarik |
12:26 | Valeria Bednarik: key levels to the upside are EUR/USD 1.4810 GBP/USD 1.6520 break and confirmation above that levels, will likley signal further upside continuation Thursday October 29, 2009 12:26 Valeria Bednarik |
12:26 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:26 nagalla |
12:26 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:26 |
12:27 | Valeria Bednarik: Better than expected GDP likely to send stocks up: DJIA has a strong support at 9700, a 61.8% of the last fall. I do believe GDP will weight more than unemployment Thursday October 29, 2009 12:27 Valeria Bednarik |
12:27 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:27 yasir kidwai |
12:27 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:27 Guest |
12:27 | Valeria Bednarik: Hi all!Thursday October 29, 2009 12:27 Valeria Bednarik |
12:27 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:27 |
12:27 | Valeria Bednarik: Gbp remains sbullish at this point, and I will wait for a confirmation above mentioned 1.6520 area to try to catch a rallly to 1.6600/20 Thursday October 29, 2009 12:27 Valeria Bednarik |
12:27 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:27 Rohit |
12:28 | Valeria Bednarik: Gold has turned to the downside... as long as under 1043, should extend downside correction. a dollar recovery due to a bad reading, will liley send gold lower Thursday October 29, 2009 12:28 Valeria Bednarik |
12:28 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:28 dag |
12:28 | Valeria Bednarik: Tks! i did Thursday October 29, 2009 12:28 Valeria Bednarik |
12:28 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:28 Darren |
12:29 | Valeria Bednarik: Er/Usd: Euro remains under pressure, and a confirmation under 1.4680 likely trigger more selling panic, as a break above 1.4810 will signal further recovery Thursday October 29, 2009 12:29 Valeria Bednarik |
12:29 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:29 Guest |
12:29 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:29 Tomas |
12:29 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:29 yasir kidwai |
12:30 | FXstreet.com: US GDP 3.5% Thursday October 29, 2009 12:30 FXstreet.com |
12:30 | Valeria Bednarik: AUD has a long way to correct to the dwnside yet remains strongly bullish at this point mostly as they are considering another rate hike this monthThursday October 29, 2009 12:30 Valeria Bednarik |
12:30 | Valeria Bednarik: BETTER THAN EXPECTED 3.5% Thursday October 29, 2009 12:30 Valeria Bednarik |
12:31 | Valeria Bednarik: Stocks jumped to the upside and dollar and yen are quiclky losing ground Thursday October 29, 2009 12:31 Valeria Bednarik |
12:31 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:31 obinna |
12:32 | Valeria Bednarik: If Gbp breaks above 1.6520, i expect the pair to run higher. we should see some small pullback now, before a continuation Thursday October 29, 2009 12:32 Valeria Bednarik |
12:32 | Valeria Bednarik: Euro remains subdue still, needs to move above 1.4810 Thursday October 29, 2009 12:32 Valeria Bednarik |
12:32 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:32 Guest |
12:33 | FXstreet.com: US GDP +3.5% in 3Q vs forecast +3.1% Thursday October 29, 2009 12:33 FXstreet.com |
12:33 | Valeria Bednarik: if don't break above mentioned level and moves under 1.4700, pair likley to resume downtrend, Thursday October 29, 2009 12:33 Valeria Bednarik |
12:33 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:33 |
12:33 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:33 Guest |
12:33 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:33 aram |
12:34 | Valeria Bednarik: Cable.. Euro is suffering more and having a harder time to rise. no strong upside volume seen these days Thursday October 29, 2009 12:34 Valeria Bednarik |
12:34 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:34 Guest |
12:35 | Valeria Bednarik: Wish I know! and tell you a certain date... but i can't. but take a look at Euro refusing to rise. maybe is weihting there. Anyway, commodity currencies are running strongly higher agaisnt dollar... and they always tend to anticipate majors. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:35 Valeria Bednarik |
12:36 | Valeria Bednarik: Still the impact is minor a bit disapointing at this moment, thus GBP continues rising Thursday October 29, 2009 12:36 Valeria Bednarik |
12:36 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:36 GBP |
12:36 | Valeria Bednarik: _A confirmation above that level yes... pair likely to pullback a bit at first attempt to break that level Thursday October 29, 2009 12:36 Valeria Bednarik |
12:36 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:36 Guest |
12:37 | Valeria Bednarik: not at this point,. Market is not reacting to the data, but to stocks. US indexes are rising, so dollar is falling. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:37 Valeria Bednarik |
12:37 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:37 zaphy |
12:38 | Valeria Bednarik: you are right it has. still we areinside past 5 months range 1.61/1.6660 no long term clear definitions there Thursday October 29, 2009 12:38 Valeria Bednarik |
12:39 | Valeria Bednarik: Sorry we have a strong delay in the coverage, I will try to attend all your questions! Thursday October 29, 2009 12:39 Valeria Bednarik |
12:39 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:39 Guest |
12:40 | Valeria Bednarik: Not really for me.. eurozone deflation keeps growing, officials keep complaining about strong euro halting recovery... the fact is that i see it closer to 1.40 than 1.50. Of course, my perspective. If we end the week under 1.4680, will be a strong confirmation of that Thursday October 29, 2009 12:40 Valeria Bednarik |
12:40 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:40 Andrej |
12:41 | Valeria Bednarik: Because the data triggered confidence on economic recovery, send stocks up, and dollar down. People "dare" to invest in riskier asssets as Euro or Gbp when is optimistic Thursday October 29, 2009 12:41 Valeria Bednarik |
12:41 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:41 |
12:42 | Valeria Bednarik: Anyway, not euro, not gbp breaky resistance levels, suggesting upside will remain limited Thursday October 29, 2009 12:42 Valeria Bednarik |
12:42 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:42 Observer |
12:43 | Valeria Bednarik: Well, I'm not seeing any euro rally at this point, being a technical trader, I will wait for breaks of mentioend levels. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:43 Valeria Bednarik |
12:43 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:43 Guest |
12:44 | Valeria Bednarik: have been reading the Times today: economist expect a 25 million pounds extension of QE with the U.K far from deflation and closer to inflation.. seems likely Thursday October 29, 2009 12:44 Valeria Bednarik |
12:44 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:44 zaphy |
12:45 | Valeria Bednarik: Seems so, yet to be honest not completely clear at this point in mid term. Having regained the 91.00 level, I would love to see the usd/jpy above 92.60 to call for an upside continuation in the longer term Thursday October 29, 2009 12:45 Valeria Bednarik |
12:45 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:45 Guest |
12:46 | Valeria Bednarik: retreat. 1.6440 is the support to watch. under that, run back to 1.6410 sorry! QE of 25 BILLION pounds! tks Eric! Thursday October 29, 2009 12:46 Valeria Bednarik |
12:46 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:46 macharia |
12:47 | Valeria Bednarik: Not yet.. pair is moving higher... move your stop to break even at least! 1.4700 is the 61.8% retracement of the daily upleg. if we don't break that, pair could resume up trend at lea fro a technical perspective. thus we will need some stronger confirmations Thursday October 29, 2009 12:47 Valeria Bednarik |
12:47 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:47 nagalla |
12:48 | Valeria Bednarik: Yes Nagalla, the same idea I have. let's see commodities keep running higher. suggesting more dollar losses to come Thursday October 29, 2009 12:48 Valeria Bednarik |
12:48 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:48 Margin call |
12:49 | Valeria Bednarik: Yeap and with this stocks tone, likely today Thursday October 29, 2009 12:49 Valeria Bednarik |
12:49 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:49 petrick |
12:49 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:49 |
12:50 | Valeria Bednarik: seems so close to parity. However if we lost 1.0130 support, I see test of that level. 1.0200 is first resistance to consider aheadd ot stronger 1.0130 Thursday October 29, 2009 12:50 Valeria Bednarik |
12:50 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:50 pankaj |
12:51 | Valeria Bednarik: I don't have a strong posture there at this point. But if under 1.4450, bearish no doubts. Thursday October 29, 2009 12:51 Valeria Bednarik |
12:51 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:51 macharia |
12:51 | Valeria Bednarik: not for me. not now. better wait for a break and confirmation oof 1.6520 Thursday October 29, 2009 12:51 Valeria Bednarik |
12:51 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:51 Angel |
12:53 | Valeria Bednarik: well, dollar is THE safe haven... followed by JPY. I has always been. True we are talking theys about that codition to remain intact, but is how things are today. and likely continue to be at least in my life time Thursday October 29, 2009 12:53 Valeria Bednarik |
12:53 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:53 Guest |
12:53 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:53 eric |
12:53 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:53 shaibu |
12:54 | Valeria Bednarik: above 1.6520 to the upside, under 1.6440 to the downside Thursday October 29, 2009 12:54 Valeria Bednarik |
12:54 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:54 Observer |
12:55 | Valeria Bednarik: Yres as stocks continued ralling as well as commoditie currencies. let's see the reaction at the 1.4810 level. should retreat a bit from there before breaking higher if it does Thursday October 29, 2009 12:55 Valeria Bednarik |
12:55 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:55 alex |
12:55 | Valeria Bednarik: close to my levels, and my fibo... i'm taking a low at 1.4480 ;) Thursday October 29, 2009 12:55 Valeria Bednarik |
12:55 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:55 Guest |
12:56 | Valeria Bednarik: if you enter to the upside at 1.4710, place your stop loss at 1.4715 right now, to come out withno loses nor winnings... at this point, even higher! Thursday October 29, 2009 12:56 Valeria Bednarik |
12:56 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:56 Vikas |
12:57 | Valeria Bednarik: 0.9100 won't be an easy level to break. if it does, will likely continue to the upside. As told before, RBA is expected to raise rates again in November, another 0.25 bpoints Thursday October 29, 2009 12:57 Valeria Bednarik |
12:57 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:57 Guest |
12:58 | Valeria Bednarik: With this strong positive sentiment, seems unlikely. Key resistance there is the 1043 area. If above, we are going to see new highs in gold Thursday October 29, 2009 12:58 Valeria Bednarik |
12:58 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:58 alex |
12:59 | Valeria Bednarik: Heding higher yes.. next resistance above 1.4810/20 area comes at 1.4860 Thursday October 29, 2009 12:59 Valeria Bednarik |
12:59 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:59 jak |
12:59 | Valeria Bednarik: Here nothing yet buy above 91.60/70 Thursday October 29, 2009 12:59 Valeria Bednarik |
12:59 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 12:59 bollinger man |
1:00 | Valeria Bednarik: I never ever see a chart of cop... Sorry! Thursday October 29, 2009 1:00 Valeria Bednarik |
1:00 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:00 Guest |
1:00 | Valeria Bednarik: under 1.4770 likely to return to the downside Thursday October 29, 2009 1:00 Valeria Bednarik |
1:01 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:01 jak |
1:01 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:01 |
1:02 | Valeria Bednarik: not for me not at this levels. 91.30 is a Fibo level in the daily we need confirmations above that to see more upside movements Thursday October 29, 2009 1:02 Valeria Bednarik |
1:03 | Valeria Bednarik: Euro continues pushing higher, yet GBP seems unable to. Stocks halted the recovery, we are going to see some consolidation ahead of U.S. opening i guess Thursday October 29, 2009 1:03 Valeria Bednarik |
1:03 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:03 Guest |
1:05 | Valeria Bednarik: Short term one seems posible, still market has not finished diggesting the new. If you want to sell, use a tight stop. as mentioned earlier 0.9100 will be key for the pair following trned. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:05 Valeria Bednarik |
1:05 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:05 Guest |
1:05 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:05 amine |
1:05 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:05 obinna |
1:06 | Valeria Bednarik: I expect Gbp to fall if under 1.6440 not before.longer term perspective, needs to see the pair under 1.6250 to the upside short term 1.6520 long term 1.6700 Thursday October 29, 2009 1:06 Valeria Bednarik |
1:06 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:06 KZ |
1:07 | Valeria Bednarik: Everything is posible. if we close the day around current level, chances increase. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:07 Valeria Bednarik |
1:07 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:07 pankaj |
1:08 | Valeria Bednarik: yes, I rather support that perspective, yet from a technical point of view, we have no confirmations yet. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:08 Valeria Bednarik |
1:08 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:08 Ibrahim |
1:08 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:08 kelvin |
1:09 | Valeria Bednarik: If under 1.4700, even further Thursday October 29, 2009 1:09 Valeria Bednarik |
1:09 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:09 Guest |
1:09 | Valeria Bednarik: seems a bit too much for today... ;) Thursday October 29, 2009 1:09 Valeria Bednarik |
1:09 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:09 dag |
1:10 | FXstreet.com: sorry ! we have just 10 minutes left. If you ahve any questions on the market, please do not hesitate to ask Valeria Thursday October 29, 2009 1:10 FXstreet.com |
1:10 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:10 zach |
1:10 | Valeria Bednarik: DAG: under 1.62000. ZACH heding nowhere just consolidating Thursday October 29, 2009 1:10 Valeria Bednarik |
1:10 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:10 Liman |
1:11 | Valeria Bednarik: In general I see it bearish... way overbought in weekly! no rates rise... complains... under 0.6980 or so, pair should slump strongly Thursday October 29, 2009 1:11 Valeria Bednarik |
1:11 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:11 Observer |
1:12 | Valeria Bednarik: agghh is awfull... but happens! don't worry Thursday October 29, 2009 1:12 Valeria Bednarik |
1:12 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:12 Guest |
1:12 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:12 Mr. Cad |
1:14 | Valeria Bednarik: AUD CAD could be forming a reversal top pattern if holds under current zone. Watchfor a break under 0.9650 area to confirm that. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:14 Valeria Bednarik |
1:15 | Valeria Bednarik: CAD has a strong zone aroudn 1.0770... and failed to break above. Should regain that level to regain the upside. yet as long as oil remains between 70/80 a barrel, seems we are not seeing any strong trend there. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:15 Valeria Bednarik |
1:15 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:15 Akeel |
1:16 | FXstreet.com: Really sorry that next question will be the last one.... Thursday October 29, 2009 1:16 FXstreet.com |
1:16 | Valeria Bednarik: Stocks! market is following stocks and gold. It had for the last year or so. risk aversion/appetite is ruling market and dollar has an inverse correlation with it's reports Thursday October 29, 2009 1:16 Valeria Bednarik |
1:16 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:16 amine |
1:17 | Valeria Bednarik: You can take your chances where you want, regarding what you see.. never trust any guru or expert more than in yourself! Thursday October 29, 2009 1:17 Valeria Bednarik |
1:18 | FXstreet.com: We are short of time today, I have to wrap up the session. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:18 FXstreet.com |
1:18 | FXstreet.com: Thank you Valeria for the great market view!... and every one who has joined the session.I have had a great time with you. Many thanks to all the traders gathered here today for your participation! Thursday October 29, 2009 1:18 FXstreet.com |
1:18 | Valeria Bednarik: Sorry guys, we have to end. I know we have a lot of questions without answer, but you can continue asking in my blogThursday October 29, 2009 1:18 Valeria Bednarik |
1:18 | FXstreet.com: Any final words , Valeria?Thursday October 29, 2009 1:18 FXstreet.com |
1:20 | Valeria Bednarik: Despite this risk appetite spike, majors hold under key resistance area, suggesting investors are not quite convinced yet to return to risk appetite. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:20 Valeria Bednarik |
1:21 | Valeria Bednarik: as usual, watch your trades, and follow your technical analysis! I has been a pleasure to be here with you today! see you bacj with BOE and ECB! bye! Thursday October 29, 2009 1:21 Valeria Bednarik |
1:21 | FXstreet.com: alright evey one,, Thank you for coming today!. I hope to see you all again next week!. Bye for now. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:21 FXstreet.com |
1:21 | FXstreet.com: Todayfs sponsor is FXCM. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:21 FXstreet.com |
1:21 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:21 Tom |
1:21 | FXstreet.com: Information and opinions contained in this live coverage session are for educational purposes only and do not constitute trading recommendations. Thursday October 29, 2009 1:21 FXstreet.com |
1:21 | FXstreet.com: Trading OTC Forex on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange or futures you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange and futures trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.Thursday October 29, 2009 1:21 FXstreet.com |
1:21 |
Thursday October 29, 2009 1:21 Rohit |
Disclaimer: Trading OTC Forex on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange or futures you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange and futures trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.







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