Expert: Jerry Furst, Founder & President of InvestorsEducationNetwork.com
Start: February 8, 2006 - 15:00GMT 10EST
End: approx. 16:00GMT 11:00EST
Topics that will be covered for above session are:
- How to Determine Support and Resistance Levels
- Determining Entry points for a trade
- Determining Exit Points for a trade
- Using Moving Averages
- Drawing Regression Channels
- How to apply Fibonacci Retracements
Who is Jerry Furst?
Jerry Furst is president and founder of Investors Education Network (IEN), an educational networking group for active traders and investors. He is a former senior analyst programmer with IBM and consultant to Fortune 100 companies. Mr. Furst has been trading his own account since 1987 and primarily trades and invests with forex currencies and equity options for his own accounts. He has found that running a networking group for traders is extremely rewarding as he continues to learn from the experts in the industry and the traders in his group.
Speech Material:
Support Resistance and Determining Entry and Exit Points.
Usually I would drill all the way down from the monthly, weekly, and then look for patterns and trade setups on the daily, 4 hour, 60, 30, and 15 minute charts. After doing this for so long it is actually a quick exercise, however the time flies by because it can get quite detailed. For the purposes of this brief presentation, we will not drill up or down. And only focus on the four hour chart.
Ok – Furst! Let’s look at Moving Averages:
Click to enlarge:
I have the 7(Green), 50(Blue), and 200 (Black) MA’s plotted here.
The concept is that MA’s act like magnets. By themselves MA’s are weak price targets, but you can be sure a lot of people are looking at the 50, and 200. In this case, we have a great example on The Euro Monday night around 1am EST with the Euro trading at 1.975. You can see the two moving averages converge at the 50 and 200, that’s a stronger magnet than just one.
Now, Let’s add my Linear Regression Channel:
Click to enlarge:
The concept of Linear Regression Channels (LRC) is that they are plotted at a standard deviation on both sides of the closing price. Similar to the concept of Bollinger Bands – but different. Without getting too deep, look at how price is behaving in between the blue outer bands and the Red “Heart Line” in the middle.
This is showing potentially a fantastic target @ 1.2067 as the top of the LRC is converging with the 200ma and the 50 ma. The 50 ma is also running parallel to the LRC.
And saving the best for last – Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions:
Click to enlarge:
I have drawn the Fibonacci Retracements from the top left Pivot Point @ 1.2322, to the Bottom of the current run down @ 1.1943. Notice the 25% retracement @ 1.2037 is showing a prior Resistance area. That will be my first price target.
We now have all three technical analysis tools in place on this four hour chart.
Click to enlarge:
We have a perfectly Symmetrical Trade of 27 pips per target!
The trade will be triggered to buy 4 lots @ 1.2008 with a 10 pip trailing stop.
PT1 @ 1.2035 = 27 pips exit two lots (just below the 25% retracement)
PT2 @ 1.2062 = 54 pips exit two lots (just below the 200ma and top of the LRC)
SL @ 1.1981 = 27 pips exit trade at loss (Risk Reward = 1:1)
Now lets see the order placed on the Proedge FX – GTS Platform
to auto execute in a “Set it and forget it trade”:
Click to enlarge:
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My favorite technical indicators to trade Forex
Expert: Valeria Bednarik, Independent Contributor at FXstreet.com Independent Analyst Team
Moderator: Maud Gilson
Summary:
Join Valeria Bednarik for FXstreet..com's April Monthly Webinar. She will explore what she considers to be the most effective indicators for her style of trading:
Don't miss Valeria's complete review of these indicators and how she uses them as a part of her trading strategy.
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Posted by FXstreet Team in Bollinger Bands, Market Viewpoint & Live Commentary, Moving Averages, RSI, Trading Knowledge & Education, Trading Strategies & Ideas | Permalink | Comments (0)